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Biden holds slim lead over Sanders in Iowa: poll

Posted on September 10, 2020

Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE has a slim 2-point edge ahead of Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) in Iowa according to a Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom poll released Saturday.

Though Biden still has yet to officially declare his candidacy, he leads the pack of 20 declared and potential candidates in the state with the support of 27 percent of likely Iowa caucus voters, but that number is down slightly from 32 percent in December.

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Sanders came in second with 25 percent, followed by Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) with 9 percent, Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisRand Paul introduces bill to end no-knock warrants The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook McEnany says Juneteenth is a very ‘meaningful’ day to Trump MORE (D-Calif.) with 7 percent and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) with 5 percent.

“If I’m Joe Biden sitting on the fence and I see this poll, this might make me want to jump in,” said J. Ann Selzer, president of the Des Moines-based Selzer & Co., which conducted the poll. “I just can’t find much in this poll that would be a red flag for Joe Biden.” 

About 70 percent of respondents said Biden’s political views are “about right” and don’t lean too liberal or conservative. About 64 percent said his experience is an asset and that he should at least run.

Biden, who would be running for president for the third time in 2020 if he throws his hat into the ring, has been mulling a White House bid for months and is expected to officially jump in the race in the coming months.

Meanwhile Sanders, who announced his candidacy last month, has seen his support in Iowa go up 6 percent since December. He narrowly lost to Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonWhite House accuses Biden of pushing ‘conspiracy theories’ with Trump election claim Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness Trayvon Martin’s mother Sybrina Fulton qualifies to run for county commissioner in Florida MORE in the Iowa caucus in 2016. However, 44 percent of likely caucus goers say he is “too liberal,” while 48 percent say his views are “just right.”

Much of Biden and Sanders’ support overlaps, though, with 30 percent of respondents who say Biden is their first choice opting to support sanders should the former vice president not run. 

Iowa has proven in election cycles past to be a crucial caucus state, with its early contest often setting the tone for the primary race.

The poll surveyed 401 likely Democratic caucus voters from March 3-6 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent.

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