Spaniard\u00a0Mario Mola\u00a0has been the leader of the Columbia Threadneedle Rankings for the majority of the season and will enter Cozumel still grasping tightly to that position. However, Great Britain\u2019s\u00a0Jonathan Brownlee\u00a0also has the title in his sights after his win in \u00a0WTS Edmonton. He is only 235 points behind Mola and if he can win in Cozumel\u00a0and keep Mola off the podium the title is his.<\/p>\n
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Trying to help Jonny keep Mola off the podium will be brother and Olympic champion Alistair Brownlee, who won the World Aquathlon Champs on Wed 14 September. Richard Murray\u00a0(RSA) and\u00a0Fernando Alarza\u00a0(ESP) are also competing and will be hoping for podium places.<\/p>\n
How the race could play out<\/p>\n
Swim<\/strong> Expect Jonny not be too far behind Varga. His strong ability in the water was seen in Rio when he and older brother Alistair were fourth and fifth out of the water. Other strong swimmers that could make an impact in the ocean is Olympic bronze medallist\u00a0Henri Schoeman\u00a0(RSA), Russian brothers Igor and\u00a0Dmitry Polyanskiy,\u00a0Aaron Royle\u00a0(AUS) and the Frenchmen.<\/p>\n The swim will be a critical part of the race for Mola, as he\u2019s not as strong as these men, and a poor swim could cost him both a medal and a world title.\u00a0<\/p>\n Bike<\/strong>\u00a0 Training partners Mola and Murray cycle well together, with Murray consistently motivating chase packs to bridge up to the leaders. The key for them will be not overusing their legs on the bike, as well as staying hydrated in the hot, humid Mexican weather.<\/p>\n USA\u2019s\u00a0Ben Kanute, Norway\u2019s\u00a0Kristian Blummenfelt\u00a0and Denmark\u2019s\u00a0Andreas Schilling\u00a0are all very good cyclists, as is Aussie Royle. Each of the men possess the power to create breakaways that could really shake up the field for both Brownlee\u2019s and Mola\u2019s plan for a world title. \u00a0<\/p>\n Run<\/strong> But the Brownlees are also very good runners. The mentally tough Alistair is not a competitor you want to push your chances with down the finish chute. That said, all bets are off if Mola, Murray and the Brownlees are near each other onto the run.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n Other factors\u2026<\/strong>
The odds are Slovakia\u2019s\u00a0Richard Varga\u00a0will \u00a0lead out of the water. In his 33 WTS races in his career, he has exited as the swim leader 28 times. Also a training partner to the Brownlees, having Varga in front in the swim increases his chances of making the lead bike pack with them, which gives the Brits the advantage.<\/p>\n
To try and ensure Jonny\u2019s victory it is likely the Brownlees will put forth a similar strategy as the Olympics, where they hammered hard early on the bike in an effort to get an insurmountable gap over the chase.<\/p>\n
Mola and Murray are considered two of the fiercest runners in the circuit. Murray had the fastest 10-kilometre split time in Rio, and Mola holds the record for the fastest split time in ITU history at 28:59, a time that he recorded at last year\u2019s Grand Final in Chicago. Add in that Murray won the World Cup race in Cozumel last year in blasting heat, and cards could be stacked in his favour.<\/p>\n
The hot weather could favour Mola and Murray \u00a0as the Brownless have not traditionally fared well in warmer conditions. Though this wasn\u2019t the case at the Rio Olympics, Alistair suffered at the Test Event last year with both injury and heat, while Jonny suffered heat stroke at the Gold Coast this year, causing him to finish third.<\/p>\n