{"id":1203,"date":"2019-03-27T03:53:37","date_gmt":"2019-03-27T03:53:37","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2019-03-27T03:53:37","modified_gmt":"2019-03-27T03:53:37","slug":"cop21-the-climate-movements-last-summit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/googmn.com\/?p=1203","title":{"rendered":"COP21: the climate movement\u2019s last summit?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The openMovements series invites leading social scientists to share their research results and perspectives on contemporary social struggles.<\/p>\n<p><i> <\/i><\/p>\n<p><i>Between October 2014 and March 2016<br \/>\nI studied how the climate movement was mobilizing around the COP21 climate<br \/>\nsummit in Paris. Although the focus of this research was academic, I have long<br \/>\nwondered whether my research could in any way be useful to those involved in<br \/>\nthe movement. Despite several activists\u2019 encouragement, I hesitated to take up<br \/>\nthis role. I felt there was little I could teach organizers who seemed<br \/>\nperfectly capable of self-reflexion about what could be improved. It is therefore<br \/>\nwith the greatest humility that I present some of my main findings, and the<br \/>\nlessons that may possibly be learned. I have the greatest respect for the<br \/>\ndifficulty of the tasks movement organizers faced in the run up to Paris \u2013 amplified<br \/>\nby the terrorist attacks that struck Paris just two weeks before the summit,<br \/>\nand by the \u2018state of emergency\u2019 that was subsequently installed. I also realize<br \/>\nthis piece comes late. How useful my findings still are for future mobilization<br \/>\nis for others to decide. Nonetheless, as Erik Olin Wright puts it,<br \/>\n\u201c[emancipatory] social science, rather than simply social criticism or social<br \/>\nphilosophy, recognizes the importance (\u2026) of systematic scientific knowledge<br \/>\nabout how the world works.\u201d<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Despite<br \/>\nnumerous repeated and widely-shared calls to stop \u2018summit-hopping\u2019, the<br \/>\npost-Copenhagen climate movement (a semantic shortcut, that does little justice<br \/>\nto the diversity underlying it) gathered its forces once more for the Paris<br \/>\nclimate summit. Why were they there again, despite such widely shared<br \/>\nscepticism? How did they try to prevent scenarios that were held responsible<br \/>\nfor previous failures? Did they effectively manage to prevent these scenarios?<br \/>\nAnd how successful were they in proposing and executing alternative strategies?\n<\/p>\n<p>My<br \/>\nmain conclusion is that even though some lessons clearly have been learned from<br \/>\nthe Copenhagen experience, and despite its drive for tactical innovation, the<br \/>\nmovement has been unable to find a solution to the challenges that lead to the \u2018Copenhagen-hangover\u2019.<br \/>\nThis is not the result of any individual or collective failures. Rather, I will<br \/>\ntry to show, it is inherent to the context of global summits and to the nature<br \/>\nof summit mobilizations. Summits do not allow their momentum to be used without<br \/>\npaying a tribute of full attention to the summit in return. Popular strategies around<br \/>\nCOP21 that aimed to use the momentum of the summit <i>whilst increasing their distance from the official negotiation process<\/i>,<br \/>\nwere constricted by this effect. To demonstrate this point, let\u2019s look at the<br \/>\nsuccess of some of the main strategies that were proposed to prevent the<br \/>\nCopenhagen-hangover.<\/p>\n<h2>An alternative party<\/h2>\n<p>A<br \/>\nfirst common response to preventing the Copenhagen scenario was to organize actions<br \/>\nthat would ignore COP21 and target alternative, arguably more powerful actors<br \/>\ninstead. Several successful actions did take place: the False Solutions COP21<br \/>\nactions effectively disrupted the rather corporate Solutions COP21 fair; the<br \/>\nGlobal Village of Alternatives showed opportunities to address climate change<br \/>\noutside the international policy making process; and La Via Campesina<br \/>\nhighlighted the responsibility of big corporations by painting a big Red Line<br \/>\nin from of the office of Danone. But none of these actions engaged a<br \/>\nparticularly large number of participants in radical action, and so did not<br \/>\nmaterialize the goal of using the COP21 momentum to mobilize the masses into a<br \/>\nradical and lasting climate movement. <\/p>\n<p>While<br \/>\nthis may have been due in part to the complex and uncertain context that was created<br \/>\nby the state of emergency, it already became increasingly clear throughout the<br \/>\nmonths of preparation before COP21 that it would be very difficult to draw<br \/>\nattention away from the official negotiations. As some of the people who<br \/>\ninitially advocated alternative targets increasingly concluded as the summit<br \/>\ndrew closer: there are a lot of other games in town, but not during COP21.<strong> <\/strong>Indeed, the question \u2018how to tell the<br \/>\nmasses to come to Paris during COP21 whilst asking them to ignore COP21?\u2019<br \/>\nremained largely unanswered. With absolutely no lack of organizational experience<br \/>\nor expertise united in this mobilization, it seemed there was ultimately no<br \/>\nsimple answer to this question.<\/p>\n<p><i>Conclusion: It is very difficult to<br \/>\ndevelop strategies that can mobilize the masses around summits, whilst getting<br \/>\nthese masses to engage in actions that are not oriented towards these summits<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p><i> <\/i><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Crashing the party<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>A<br \/>\nsecond strategy focused on the disruption of the summit. It was expected that<br \/>\ngovernment leaders would come out celebrating a death sentence for the planet,<br \/>\nand so the movement prepared to disrupt the party. Although the goal of<br \/>\ndisruption sounds legit, the (potential) effectiveness of such a strategy is<br \/>\nquestionable. <\/p>\n<p>As<br \/>\nCarl Death described in his article on \u2018summit theatres\u2019 (<i>Environmental<br \/>\nPolitics, 2011<\/i>), even strong<br \/>\nopposition to summits contributes to the image of summits as places where<br \/>\nglobal governance is taking problems very serious. Resistance contributes to<br \/>\nthe performed image of seriousness. \u00a0Whether the general public really picks up<br \/>\nmore than this general picture is questionable (see below). Some online media<br \/>\nreported on the Red Lines action\u2019s critical message, but the mainstream media<br \/>\ndid not. Take the Guardian, which had already been reporting on the plans for<br \/>\nthe Red Lines action. If anyone should have brought the Red Lines message to<br \/>\nthe masses, unfortunately, not even the Guardian gave proper coverage of the<br \/>\nRed Lines action, or of the \u2018last word\u2019 action that was held afterwards at the<br \/>\nEiffel Tower. In the Guardian\u2019s live feed there was brief mentioning of the Red<br \/>\nLines action, but it was framed as \u201810,000 people on the streets calling for a<br \/>\nstrong climate deal\u2019 \u2013 precisely the type of framing that organizers had aimed<br \/>\nto prevent. The rest of the day, the live feed was filled mainly with celebratory<br \/>\ncoverage of the signed deal. No actual article was dedicated to the Red Lines action.<\/p>\n<p>This<br \/>\nwas not the result of any individual or collective failure. Part of this outcome<br \/>\nwas the result of some bad luck, with the final negotiation text being released<br \/>\nat about the same time that the Red Lines action began, thus overshadowing the latter.<br \/>\nMoreover, the State of Emergency also made the organization of a radical action<br \/>\nso much more complicated. With greatly increased uncertainty, organizers were<br \/>\nforced to opt for the safe side of things, thereby losing an important radical<br \/>\nedge. Had the Red Lines action indeed taken place according to the original<br \/>\nplans \u2013 including the building of (symbolic) barricades around the conference<br \/>\ncentre \u2013 it might have had a more profound disrupting effect. <\/p>\n<p>However,<br \/>\nbeyond these unfortunate circumstances, the inability to disrupt has a more fundamental<br \/>\ncause: climate summits do not allow themselves to be disrupted. There are historic<br \/>\ncounter-examples, like the Battle of Seattle, in which movements have shut down<br \/>\nsummits, but this is an exceptional case. What is more, climate activists are<br \/>\nlimited with regard to \u2018shutting down\u2019 COPs. While the WTO clearly advances a<br \/>\nneoliberalism that global justice activists oppose, the UNFCCC and the climate<br \/>\nmovement in principle share the basic goal of mitigating climate change. Shutting<br \/>\ndown a COP therefore sends a very ambiguous and problematic message. Offering a<br \/>\ncritical note to the summit outcome therefore seems a more reasonable<br \/>\nalternative, yet Paris has proven that COPs\u2019 momentum \u2013 the one that allows the<br \/>\nmovement to mobilize its resources in the first place \u2013\u00a0seems too strong to<br \/>\nallow for much disruption from the streets. <\/p>\n<p>But<br \/>\nwhat would have happened if circumstances had been more favourable, and the Red<br \/>\nLines action <i>had <\/i>managed to place a<br \/>\ncritical note to the celebratory newsfeed, or if it had even properly<br \/>\novershadowed it? Would the general public have become more critical, and would<br \/>\nthey have realized that it was time for immediate climate action? A recent<br \/>\nstudy by Zorzeta Bakaki and Thomas Bernauer (<i>Environmental<br \/>\nPolitics, 2016<\/i>) suggests that<br \/>\nno, such coverage would have made little difference to people\u2019s public opinion.<br \/>\nUsing an experimental design, they find that coverage of climate summits does<br \/>\nraise audiences\u2019 awareness about the issue, but it does not change their<br \/>\nopinion about the issue \u2013 regardless of whether they are served positive or<br \/>\nnegative coverage of the event. In quoting Bernard Cohen, they conclude that<br \/>\n\u201cthe mass media may not often be successful in telling people what to think,<br \/>\nbut they are successful in telling readers what to think about.\u201d So it seems<br \/>\nthat whether or not disruptive protest is included, media coverage of climate<br \/>\nsummits will at best increase awareness about climate change. And here we are<br \/>\nback at what Carl Death warned against: even the most disruptive protest<br \/>\nfunctions to underscore how serious this global governance event is taking the<br \/>\nissue at hand. It is very hard to really disrupt that image. <\/p>\n<p><i>Conclusion: It is very difficult to<br \/>\ndisrupt the mainstream media story of climate summits through mass actions that<br \/>\npromote an alternative story. And even if media coverage can be altered, this<br \/>\narguably has limited consequences for public opinion and the general public\u2019s<br \/>\nengagement.<\/i><\/p>\n<p><i> <\/i><\/p>\n<h2><strong>The after-party<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Another<br \/>\nfrequently mentioned goal was that the COP21 mobilization was not (just) about<br \/>\nParis, but about using the momentum the summit would generate to build a<br \/>\nmovement for the long climate struggle that would come after Paris. Indeed, the<br \/>\nentire framing and strategy of the mobilization was designed to manage<br \/>\nunrealistic hopes about a positive outcome and to prevent hangovers and<br \/>\ndepressions by building a movement on the basis of realistic expectations. <\/p>\n<p>However,<br \/>\nthroughout 2015, most of the movement\u2019s energy seems to have been invested in<br \/>\ncoming up with strategies that allowed the movement to ignore COP21 while in<br \/>\nParis. Taking the movement into 2016 and beyond was an often-quoted aim, but<br \/>\nreceived much less attention than the COP21 strategy, and was generally not<br \/>\noperationalized in very concrete terms. It is therefore unsurprising that the main<br \/>\ncoalition that was built up towards COP21 did not seem to have profoundly<br \/>\nshaped a global climate movement of 2016.<\/p>\n<p>Let<br \/>\nus consider first the organizational level. Certainly, the mobilization for<br \/>\nCOP21 stood out for its unseen ability to bring together organizations who had<br \/>\nuntil recently been in sometimes open conflict with each other. Actors from<br \/>\nboth sides of the climate justice divide managed to join in a diverse coalition<br \/>\n(Coalition Climat 21) to<br \/>\ncoordinate their mobilization \u2013 albeit at times in a precarious way and along<br \/>\nnew cleavages. And they coordinated actions with the more radical, grassroots<br \/>\naction groups united in Climate Justice Action. But as remarkable as this<br \/>\nunification of the climate movement was, as quick was its dissolution. Indeed,<br \/>\nwithout the common goal of the COP21 mobilization, Coalition Climat 21 quickly<br \/>\nfell apart \u2013 despite considerable efforts of some to keep it together. <\/p>\n<p>Climate Justice Action did<br \/>\nmanage to stay together. This is probably because it is geographically<br \/>\n(European), organizationally (grassroots) and politically (anti-capitalist)<br \/>\nmore homogenous, which by extension means that it has limited influence on the<br \/>\nconstruction of a broad global climate movement. Efforts to keep the coalition<br \/>\ntogether may have started too late (only during COP21, except for a small<br \/>\nmeeting during a CC21 meeting in Paris in June). However, taking into account<br \/>\nhow packed the preparation meetings for COP21 had already been, shifting more<br \/>\nattention to what came after COP21 could have been hard to pull off. In a sense<br \/>\nthen, this situation also suggests that COPs do not allow that too much<br \/>\nattention is payed to business that diverts attention away from it. <\/p>\n<p>With<br \/>\nregard to the individuals the movement had managed to mobilize into the<br \/>\nmovement around Paris, it is really very difficult to draw precise conclusions.<br \/>\nThere are for example no survey data that can link participants in the COP21<br \/>\nmobilization to participation in some of the climate actions that took place in<br \/>\n2016. Hence, we can only guess about the movement\u2019s ability to take the<br \/>\nmobilized masses from Paris to the \u2018beyond\u2019. Actions like Ende Gelande in May 2016,<br \/>\nas well as the wider Breakfree 2016 campaign, at face value appeared to have<br \/>\nbenefited from some of the momentum generated around COP. Yet it is hard to<br \/>\nassess <i>how<\/i> important the COP21<br \/>\nmobilization was in this regard, or more precisely, whether the investments<br \/>\nmade in the COP21 mobilization were an efficient way of getting people into<br \/>\nthese actions and the wider movement.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe<br \/>\nthese are simply the risks involved with complex strategies, yet a clear<br \/>\nstrategy to make this link seemed to be missing. Despite claims that \u2018it was<br \/>\nnot about Paris\u2019 but about what came beyond, organizers focused mainly on, and<br \/>\ninvested most energy and resources, in Paris. Again, I believe this to be an<br \/>\nunavoidable consequence of the fact that summits do not allow you to use their<br \/>\nmomentum without getting proper attention in return. <\/p>\n<p><i>Conclusion: Summit mobilizations<br \/>\nrequire full attention. Focusing on the development of strategies to carry the<br \/>\nbuilt momentum beyond summits appears limited, thus increasing the risk that<br \/>\nbuilt alliances will soon dissolve. Mobilizing people at one moment to call<br \/>\nupon their participation at a later stage is hard to control, measure, and<br \/>\ntherefore risky. <\/i><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Conclusion: there is no alternative<br \/>\n(yet)<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>So<br \/>\nhow successful was the COP21 mobilization? To the extent that it managed to<br \/>\nprevent some of the mistakes made in Copenhagen, one could say it was a<br \/>\nsuccess. Important internal conflicts were (temporarily and partially)<br \/>\nappeased, expectations were managed, strategies were diversified, and actions<br \/>\nwere in place for the movement to focus on after the summit. <\/p>\n<p>But<br \/>\nhow successful was the mobilization beyond preventing the harmful effects that<br \/>\nCopenhagen had had on the movement? Either not very successful, I would argue<br \/>\n(disrupting, having the last word, mobilizing to target other actors, bringing<br \/>\norganizations together beyond COPs), or very hard to determine (getting people<br \/>\nengaged in the long run). What this means for future mobilizations depends on<br \/>\nthe function one ascribes to summit mobilizations. For those who see it as a<br \/>\nnecessary evil (\u2018we can\u2019t afford not to go\u2019), the COP21 mobilization may have<br \/>\nshown a method that at least prevents the potential harmfulness of summit<br \/>\nmobilizations that Copenhagen demonstrated. For those seeking to invest their<br \/>\nscarce resources in the most effective strategies (i.e. for having substantive<br \/>\nimpact on achieving climate justice) summit mobilizations seem inherently<br \/>\nlimited.<\/p>\n<p>This<br \/>\nsombre conclusion should at least in part be attributed to the exceptionally<br \/>\nunfavourable context that the state of emergency created. It is hard to tell<br \/>\nhow many people would have participated in the original plans for the False<br \/>\nSolutions and Red Lines actions, what their experience would have been, and how<br \/>\nthe media and politicians would have responded to them. It is probably fair to<br \/>\nexpect that both actions would have turned out more effective. Nevertheless,<br \/>\nthe core of my argument is that there is a fundamental flaw in the idea of<br \/>\nmobilizing around arguably \u2018weak\u2019 summits: even if one develops strategies in<br \/>\nrecognition of the limited nature of these summits, the summits still demand<br \/>\nattention, and the Paris mobilization has taught us the valuable lesson that<br \/>\nthis tension can hardly be overcome. Thus, if Copenhagen showed that there was<br \/>\na need for expectation management and a reduced emphasis on the summit outcome<br \/>\nitself, then Paris showed that going to a summit with the intention to disrupt<br \/>\nor ignore it is unlikely to be successful. By trying to lift off \u2018planet<br \/>\nsummit\u2019, its gravity became truly noticeable for the first time \u2013 a necessary<br \/>\nbut falsifying experiment.<\/p>\n<p>Finally,<br \/>\ndoes this piece come too late? Since the election of Trump, it seems we will<br \/>\nnot see another high-profile climate summit anytime soon \u2013 especially not one<br \/>\nwith a high chance of delivering a substantively meaningful outcome. \u2018To summit<br \/>\nor not to summit?\u2019, may therefore be a question of the past. <\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless,<br \/>\na lesson that can be learned from Paris, and which is perhaps only underscored<br \/>\nby Trump, is the importance of finding ways for the climate movement to become<br \/>\nglobally coordinated beyond summits. Effectively mitigating climate change<br \/>\nrequires a globally coordinated effort, and so does the redistributive<br \/>\nprinciple underlying climate justice. This is not a new idea, and attempts have<br \/>\nalready been made towards such independent global coordination, such as through<br \/>\nthe World Social Forums, or through globally coordinated campaigns like<br \/>\nBreakfree 2016. In this sense, my conclusion echoes Bullard and Mueller\u2019s (<i>Development, 2012<\/i>) call for the development of<br \/>\nthe movement\u2019s own \u2018globality\u2019.<\/p>\n<p><i>Conclusion: The Paris mobilization<br \/>\nwas innovative, and explored the margins of summit mobilization, thereby<br \/>\nshowing above all, the need for innovative strategies to move beyond summits,<br \/>\nand to develop strategies for global coordination in the movement\u2019s own<br \/>\n\u2018globality\u2019.<\/i><\/p>\n<p><i>All photos by\u00a0Joost de Moor. Used with author&#039;s permission.<\/i><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p><strong>How to cite:<\/strong><br \/>De Moor J.(2017) COP21: the climate movement\u2019s last summit?, Open Democracy \/ ISA RC-47: Open Movements, 18 February. https:\/\/opendemocracy.net\/joost-de-moor\/cop21-climate-movement-s-last-summit<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The openMovements series invites leading social scientists to share their research results and perspectives on contemporary social struggles. Between October 2014 and March 2016 I studied how the climate movement was mobilizing around the COP21 climate summit in Paris. Although the focus of this research was academic, I have long wondered whether my research could&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1203","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/googmn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1203","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/googmn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/googmn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/googmn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/googmn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1203"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/googmn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1203\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/googmn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1203"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/googmn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1203"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/googmn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1203"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}